Smouha 4-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.70/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.94
+46% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.7 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.67 xG 0.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
186 Passes 357
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.09.2023 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
4-0
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1.32 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 351
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha cruised past Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Smouha had 45% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 55%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.32 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Smouha 4-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Smouha 46%, draw 28%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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