Ruch Chorzow 1-3 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.30/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.81
+31% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
1-3
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola beat Ruch Chorzow 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 60% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 40%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Ruch Chorzow 1-3 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 50%, draw 27%, Stal Stalowa Wola 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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