Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.73
No
35%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
15%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
46%
-8.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
54%
+8.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
54%
+11.1pp
35%
BTTS No
46%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 57%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
2-0
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola beat Ruch Chorzow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 47% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Ruch Chorzow?

Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 23%, draw 26%, Ruch Chorzow 50%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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