Arka Gdynia 2-0 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.15
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 23% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.6pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.99/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.78
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
23.09.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
21.04.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-3 HT 0-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
16.09.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-4 HT 2-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
26.05.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
27.11.2021 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-0
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia beat Chrobry Glogow 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 63% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 37%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chrobry Glogow led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.50 for Chrobry Glogow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow?

Arka Gdynia 2-0 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 53%, draw 27%, Chrobry Glogow 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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