Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 49%
-23% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.04/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.04
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 1-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
04.11.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0-1
AWAY Nieciecza
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza edged past Polonia Warszawa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 48% of the ball to Nieciecza's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 1.50 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Nieciecza?

Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 25%, draw 28%, Nieciecza 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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