Nakhon Pathom 2-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.09
-37% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.8 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Thai Port FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.53 xG 1.26
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
155 Passes 537
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
2-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
2.06 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
285 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom and Thai Port FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 54% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 46%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.06 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Thai Port FC?

Nakhon Pathom 2-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 31%, draw 33%, Thai Port FC 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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