ES Tunis 1-0 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

ES Tunis
1-0 HT 1-0
EGS Gafsa
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

ES Tunis vs EGS Gafsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.27
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.14
No
59%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+13.1pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Tunis v EGS Gafsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.14/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.50
+25% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 179 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

ES Tunis vs EGS Gafsa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
25.12.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 0-3 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis nicked a narrow win over EGS Gafsa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs EGS Gafsa?

ES Tunis 1-0 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 66%, draw 21%, EGS Gafsa 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ BTTS No
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