Naples 2-1 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-1
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.08 xG 0.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
241 Passes 293
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Naples vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples nicked a narrow win over Richmond Kickers 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Naples made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 46% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 54%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.08 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Naples's control.

What was the final score of Naples vs Richmond Kickers?

Naples 2-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naples 40%, draw 30%, Richmond Kickers 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
13 Apr 2025
02:30 Tormenta vs Portland Hearts of Pine Analysis →
05:30 Alta vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →