Tormenta 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.59/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.54
-20% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
21.0 Crosses 7.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
2-1
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.25 xG 2.76
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
259 Passes 260
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta squeezed past Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tormenta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tormenta had 51% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 49%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.25 to 2.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portland Hearts of Pine.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Tormenta 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 47%, draw 27%, Portland Hearts of Pine 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tormenta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tormenta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
13 Apr 2025
02:00 Naples vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →
05:30 Alta vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →