Reading U21 4-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.60
+6% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.3 Crosses 9.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Derby County U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
291 Passes 212
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.01.2025 Reading U21 Reading U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2
POST-MATCH Reading U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading U21 ran out comfortable winners over Derby County U21 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Reading U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?

Reading U21 4-1 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 45%, draw 22%, Derby County U21 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reading U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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