EM Mahdia 1-1 Chebba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
11%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.7pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.9pp
11%
Away Win
17%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chebba EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.33/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.66
-13% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -47%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
417 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 158 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chebba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.11.2025 Chebba Chebba 1-1 HT 1-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
02.03.2024 Chebba Chebba 1-0 HT 0-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Chebba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia and Chebba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was EM Mahdia at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chebba led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for EM Mahdia and 1.00 for Chebba.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Chebba?

EM Mahdia 1-1 Chebba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Chebba?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 53%, draw 36%, Chebba 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (EM Mahdia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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