Fiorentina vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
İTA
3-2
HT 2-2
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Monza
İTA
Fiorentina 2-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina squeezed past Monza 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 50% of the ball to Monza's 50%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.51 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fiorentina's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fiorentina and 1.33 for Monza.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Monza?
Fiorentina 2-1 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Monza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 48%, draw 25%, Monza 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.