Lecce 0-2 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 13 May 2024

Lecce
0-2 HT 0-1
Udinese
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Lecce vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.82
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.46
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
8%
5.87
X/2
8%
5.1
X/X
20%
3.7
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.65
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Udinese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.33/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.15
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
23.2 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Lecce vs Udinese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Udinese
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
28.04.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
23.12.2022 Udinese Udinese 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecce Lecce HAZ
04.11.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
29.07.2020 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
06.01.2020 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA

Lecce 0-2 Udinese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
0-2
AWAY Udinese
0.37 xG 1.46
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
435 Passes 215
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese saw off Lecce 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; Udinese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lecce had 65% of the ball to Udinese's 35%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.37 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lecce and 1.00 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Udinese?

Lecce 0-2 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lecce 31%, draw 35%, Udinese 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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