Aurora 3-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 May 2024

Aurora
3-1 HT 3-1
Oriente Petrolero
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Oriente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.82/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.08
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
24.4 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
264 Passes 260
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
15.05.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-2 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
21.04.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
12.02.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
21.11.2021 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
27.07.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Aurora 3-1 Oriente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
3-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.17 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora saw off Oriente Petrolero 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Aurora had 48% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 52%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.17 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aurora and 1.50 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Aurora 3-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aurora 49%, draw 23%, Oriente Petrolero 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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