Santa Cruz 0-2 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.03/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.19
+9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
218 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.9 Crosses 18.1
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Wilstermann
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
196 Passes 273
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
14.05.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
20.08.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 5-1 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.12.2020 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-3 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
14.02.2020 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-2
AWAY Wilstermann
0.48 xG 2.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
276 Passes 260
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann saw off Santa Cruz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wilstermann found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 53% of the ball to Wilstermann's 47%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.48 to 2.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wilstermann led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Santa Cruz and 2.00 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Wilstermann?

Santa Cruz 0-2 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 34%, draw 29%, Wilstermann 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wilstermann), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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