Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
1-4
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 57% of the ball to Vitoria's 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.69 to 1.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.50 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria?
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 43%, draw 27%, Vitoria 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.