Botev Vratsa 1-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.11/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.50
-33% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
31.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-0
AWAY Hebar 1918
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past Hebar 1918 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 47% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Botev Vratsa and 2.50 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918?

Botev Vratsa 1-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 48%, draw 22%, Hebar 1918 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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