Botev Vratsa 3-2 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.78/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/1.46
-22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
31.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-3 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa nicked a narrow win over Hebar 1918 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Botev Vratsa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918?

Botev Vratsa 3-2 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 37%, draw 26%, Hebar 1918 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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