Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.74
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 34% vs market 33.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.59/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.72
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.03.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
09.12.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.10.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
12.03.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
07.10.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
14.05.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Foolad Khuzestan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.50 for Foolad Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 56%, draw 27%, Foolad Khuzestan 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
13 May 2024
17:45 Zob Ahan vs Paykan Qazvin Analysis →
19:00 Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran Analysis →