Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-4 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.61
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
35%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
0.78/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.10
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
19.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 4-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
09.12.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
28.02.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
10.09.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 HT 2-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
28.02.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.11.2021 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran cruised past Esteghlal Khuzestan 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and on the day Nassaji Mazandaran made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.50 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-4 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 33%, draw 35%, Nassaji Mazandaran 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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