Alianza Atletico 0-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 May 2024

Alianza Atletico
0-1 HT 0-0
Cienciano
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2024

Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Atletico v Cienciano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.45/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+36% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
14.8 Crosses 19.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cienciano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.18 xG 1.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
187 Passes 304
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.05.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 5-2 HT 3-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.08.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.04.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 5-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
17.09.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
27.03.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER

Alianza Atletico 0-1 Cienciano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-1
AWAY Cienciano
2.63 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
236 Passes 184
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Atletico at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 56% of the ball to Cienciano's 44%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.63 to 1.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alianza Atletico.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Atletico and 2.33 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano?

Alianza Atletico 0-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 50%, draw 25%, Cienciano 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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