Universitario 4-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.50
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
20.3 Crosses 11.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
269 Passes 331
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.10.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
22.05.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
04.08.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-2 HT 2-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.04.2021 Universitario Universitario 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
4-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.65 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
311 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario swept aside Sporting Cristal 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Universitario had 55% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 45%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.65 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Universitario and 0.67 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Sporting Cristal?

Universitario 4-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Universitario 52%, draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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