Uniao De Leiria 3-0 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.66/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.48
+1% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 18.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.40 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
338 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
21.10.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-3 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
3-0
AWAY Academico Viseu
2.14 xG 0.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
356 Passes 424
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria cruised past Academico Viseu 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 46% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 54%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.14 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.00 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Academico Viseu?

Uniao De Leiria 3-0 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 41%, draw 27%, Academico Viseu 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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