Academico Viseu 1-0 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
23.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 32.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.23/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.45
-21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 21.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-3 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
1-0
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.79 xG 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
331 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu squeezed past Uniao De Leiria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Academico Viseu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 49% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 51%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.79 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Uniao De Leiria?

Academico Viseu 1-0 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 39%, draw 29%, Uniao De Leiria 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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