UD Oliveirense 1-1 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-1
AWAY Maritimo
1.42 xG 1.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
285 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense and Maritimo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 47% of the ball to Maritimo's 53%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.42 to 1.84.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Maritimo?

UD Oliveirense 1-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 26%, draw 26%, Maritimo 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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