Penafiel vs Vilaverdense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Vilaverdense — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel 2-1 Vilaverdense — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel nicked a narrow win over Vilaverdense 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Penafiel as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Penafiel had 50% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 50%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.45 to 0.86.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Vilaverdense?
Penafiel 2-1 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Vilaverdense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 51%, draw 28%, Vilaverdense 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penafiel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.