Nacional vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
POK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Nacional
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
3-2
HT 1-1
Tondela
POR
Nacional 1-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional and Tondela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Nacional had 47% of the ball to Tondela's 53%, shots finished 11-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional and 1.00 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Tondela?
Nacional 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacional 41%, draw 32%, Tondela 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional), BTTS No went the other way.