Benfica II 2-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2024

Benfica II
2-1 HT 1-0
CF Os Belenenses
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Benfica II vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Benfica II v CF Os Belenenses — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.78/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.56
+7% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.3 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Benfica II vs CF Os Belenenses Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.50 xG 1.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
446 Passes 234
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.04.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR2
22.10.2022 CF Os Belenenses 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II nicked a narrow win over CF Os Belenenses 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benfica II and 0.50 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Benfica II 2-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 55%, draw 23%, CF Os Belenenses 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ BTTS No
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