Zeleznicar Pancevo 4-0 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.4pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
Crosses 10.7
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.24 xG 0.97
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
136 Passes 352
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-1 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
4-0
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.87 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
433 Passes 278
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo ran out comfortable winners over Radnik Surdulica 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zeleznicar Pancevo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 59% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.87 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Radnik Surdulica?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 4-0 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 62%, draw 19%, Radnik Surdulica 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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