Novi Pazar 0-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.26/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-29% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.9 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 239
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.08.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
20.03.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.10.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
0-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.64 xG 0.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
606 Passes 230
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica squeezed past Novi Pazar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Spartak Subotica made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 69% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 31%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.64 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Novi Pazar.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novi Pazar and 0.83 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica?

Novi Pazar 0-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 38%, draw 28%, Spartak Subotica 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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