Al Faisaly 2-1 Hajer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajer EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.71/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.50
+6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hajer
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2023 Hajer Hajer 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
07.02.2023 Hajer Hajer 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
06.09.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-0 HT 1-0 Hajer Hajer SUUD1
29.10.2015 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-1 HT 1-1 Hajer Hajer SUUD
01.03.2015 Hajer Hajer 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
11.09.2014 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Hajer Hajer SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
2-1
AWAY Hajer
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Hajer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly nicked a narrow win over Hajer 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Faisaly as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 55% of the ball to Hajer's 45%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Faisaly and 0.50 for Hajer.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Hajer?

Al Faisaly 2-1 Hajer in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Hajer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 47%, draw 26%, Hajer 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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