Al Quadisiya 4-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quadisiya EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.96
-21% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quadisiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.12.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Quadisiya vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quadisiya saw off Al Najma 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Quadisiya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Quadisiya vs Al Najma?

Al Quadisiya 4-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quadisiya vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quadisiya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Quadisiya 54%, draw 23%, Al Najma 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quadisiya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Quadisiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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