Orlando Pirates 3-0 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 13 May 2025

Orlando Pirates
3-0 HT 1-0
Golden Arrows
📅13/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orlando Pirates v Golden Arrows — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.79/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.79
+22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.8 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Golden Arrows
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.29 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2025 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
06.04.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 7-1 HT 3-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
17.12.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-2 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
14.01.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
18.10.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
16.02.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL

Orlando Pirates 3-0 Golden Arrows — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-0
AWAY Golden Arrows
2.19 xG 0.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
362 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates ran out comfortable winners over Golden Arrows 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 55% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 45%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.19 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.67 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows?

Orlando Pirates 3-0 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 56%, draw 25%, Golden Arrows 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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