Safa 2-1 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.0pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 23%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.94/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+142% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.04.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-1 HT 1-1 Safa Safa LUBN
12.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 0-2 HT 0-1 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa squeezed past Al Nejmeh 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Safa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Safa and 0.50 for Al Nejmeh.

What was the final score of Safa vs Al Nejmeh?

Safa 2-1 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Safa 44%, draw 27%, Al Nejmeh 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
13 May 2025
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