Haras El Hodood 1-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 34% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.83/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.68
+27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.1 Crosses 23.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
1W-0D-2L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
176 Passes 378
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-1 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
19.04.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
24.12.2022 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
1-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.24 xG 1.74
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
148 Passes 356
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood and National Bank of Egypt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had National Bank of Egypt at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 35% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 65%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.24 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.33 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs National Bank of Egypt?

Haras El Hodood 1-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 18%, draw 22%, National Bank of Egypt 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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