Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
0.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.70
+45% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
10.9 Crosses 19.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.68 xG 1.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 377
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.10.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
29.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.12.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
08.11.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
29.05.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.75 xG 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
433 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly edged past Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 60% of the ball to Al Ahly's 40%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.75 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 2.50 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly?

Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 24%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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