Al Ahly 4-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.77/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.87
+19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.3 Crosses 12.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.72 xG 0.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
445 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
08.11.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
29.05.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
28.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
30.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
30.04.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
4-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.55 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly swept aside Ceramica Cleopatra 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 55% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 45%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.55 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahly and 0.50 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Al Ahly 4-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 61%, draw 22%, Ceramica Cleopatra 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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