Al Mokawloon 2-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.12
6+ Goals
7%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 35% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.98
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.6 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zamalek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.31
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
209 Passes 448
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
04.07.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 6-1 HT 3-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSRK
17.04.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
25.12.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
12.07.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
21.12.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
2-1
AWAY Zamalek
1.21 xG 0.81
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
187 Passes 460
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over Zamalek 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zamalek at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 33% of the ball to Zamalek's 67%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 2.00 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Zamalek?

Al Mokawloon 2-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 24%, draw 31%, Zamalek 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
29 Jul 2024
21:00 Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra Analysis →