Al Ahly 5-2 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.60/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.54
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
486 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.8 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
426 Passes 187
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
29.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.12.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
08.11.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
29.05.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
28.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
5-2
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.20 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
273 Passes 335
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly ran out comfortable winners over Ceramica Cleopatra 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Ahly had 47% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 53%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.20 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ahly and 0.67 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Al Ahly 5-2 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 52%, draw 26%, Ceramica Cleopatra 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
2 Nov 2024
18:00 Ismaily vs Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis →