Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Super Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.45
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
15%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-17.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.83/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/1.54
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +133%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
19.0 Crosses 1.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.78 xG 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
422 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.12.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
08.11.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
29.05.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
28.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
30.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly squeezed past Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ahly had 44% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 56%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahly and 0.50 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Super Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 47%, draw 28%, Ceramica Cleopatra 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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