Arsenal (K) 1-0 Everton (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.16
Draw
11%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.06
No
69%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
38%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
-8.5pp
11%
Draw
11%
-0.7pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
31%
BTTS Yes
44%
-13.8pp
69%
BTTS No
56%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.71/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.44
+48% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +75%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
47.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
23.1 Crosses 9.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Everton (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 0.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
540 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
47 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
14.03.2025 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
06.10.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
21.04.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
18.11.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
1-0
AWAY Everton (K)
1.19 xG 0.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
495 Passes 226
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Everton (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) edged past Everton (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 65% of the ball to Everton (K)'s 35%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.67 for Everton (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Everton (K)?

Arsenal (K) 1-0 Everton (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Everton (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 73%, draw 11%, Everton (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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