Falkenbergs FF 0-3 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 May 2026

Falkenbergs FF
0-3 HT 0-0
Varbergs
📅13/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.88
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.81
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
9%
4.5
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
3.65
2/X
10%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkenbergs FF v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.81/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.78
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkenbergs FF
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 2-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
27.02.2016 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 0-1 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK

Falkenbergs FF 0-3 Varbergs — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkenbergs FF
0-3
AWAY Varbergs
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs cruised past Falkenbergs FF 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Varbergs found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Falkenbergs FF had 60% of the ball to Varbergs's 40%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Falkenbergs FF and 1.50 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs?

Falkenbergs FF 0-3 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkenbergs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Falkenbergs FF 38%, draw 25%, Varbergs 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Falkenbergs FF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkenbergs FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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