Falkenbergs FF 2-2 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.09
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.97
X/2
18%
6.67
X/X
17%
4.73
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.85
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-10.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.69
-9% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkenbergs FF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.02.2016 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 0-1 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkenbergs FF
2-2
AWAY Varbergs
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkenbergs FF and Varbergs shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Falkenbergs FF had 41% of the ball to Varbergs's 59%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs?

Falkenbergs FF 2-2 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Falkenbergs FF 33%, draw 30%, Varbergs 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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