Örgryte 2-1 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.67
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
10%
7.75
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.2
2/2
14%
5.82
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.79/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.40
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2024 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
30.03.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
08.10.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 2-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
01.05.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
31.07.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.05.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte squeezed past Utsiktens BK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Örgryte as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Örgryte and 1.50 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Utsiktens BK?

Örgryte 2-1 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 45%, draw 25%, Utsiktens BK 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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