Utsiktens BK 1-1 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.8
X/2
15%
5.45
X/X
8%
5.04
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.44
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.71/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.54
+20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Örgryte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
08.10.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 2-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
01.05.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
31.07.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.05.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
21.08.2019 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
1-1
AWAY Örgryte
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK and Örgryte couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 50% of the ball to Örgryte's 50%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.00 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Örgryte?

Utsiktens BK 1-1 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 40%, draw 23%, Örgryte 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utsiktens BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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