Gefle 0-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.92
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
10%
6.06
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.31
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -30%
1.91/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.87
+34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-3 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
16.03.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 Gefle Gefle HAZ
16.09.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
22.07.2023 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
06.11.2016 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-4 HT 1-2 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
23.04.2016 Gefle Gefle 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
0-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle and Östersunds FK fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gefle had 46% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 54%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gefle and 1.83 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Östersunds FK?

Gefle 0-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gefle 41%, draw 27%, Östersunds FK 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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