Östersunds FK 1-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Mar 2024

Östersunds FK
1-0
Gefle
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Östersunds FK vs Gefle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Gefle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 48%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+88% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Östersunds FK vs Gefle Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Gefle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
22.07.2023 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
06.11.2016 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-4 HT 1-2 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
23.04.2016 Gefle Gefle 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK squeezed past Gefle 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gefle led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Östersunds FK and 2.00 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Gefle?

Östersunds FK 1-0 Gefle in the Friendlies on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 33%, draw 24%, Gefle 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
16 Mar 2024
15:00 SJK Akatemia vs VIFK Vaasa Analysis →
15:00 Ullensaker / Kisa vs Orn Horten Analysis →
16:00 Sogndal vs Raufoss Analysis →
17:00 HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
17:00 Start vs Sandnes Ulf Analysis →
17:00 Mjondalen vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →