Sogndal 1-5 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Mar 2024

Sogndal
1-5
Raufoss
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Sogndal vs Raufoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sogndal v Raufoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sogndal vs Raufoss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Raufoss
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.10.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
04.04.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
15.09.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
21.07.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 1-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss swept aside Sogndal 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sogndal at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sogndal and 1.00 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Raufoss?

Sogndal 1-5 Raufoss in the Friendlies on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 50%, draw 24%, Raufoss 26%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sogndal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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