Örgryte 1-2 Utsiktens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.71
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.62
X/2
17%
5.57
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
3.67
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.22/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.46
-19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Utsiktens BK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 2-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
01.05.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
31.07.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.05.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
21.08.2019 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
23.06.2014 Örgryte Örgryte 2-1 HT 2-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
1-2
AWAY Utsiktens BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Utsiktens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK nicked a narrow win over Örgryte 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Utsiktens BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Örgryte had 53% of the ball to Utsiktens BK's 47%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Örgryte and 1.17 for Utsiktens BK.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Utsiktens BK?

Örgryte 1-2 Utsiktens BK in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Utsiktens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 38%, draw 28%, Utsiktens BK 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ Under 2.5
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