GIF Sundsvall 1-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Mar 2024

GIF Sundsvall
1-0 HT 0-0
Östersunds FK
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 24% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.87
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.63
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
12%
3.64
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GIF Sundsvall v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.44/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.52
-4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIF Sundsvall
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
490 Passes 448
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
18.04.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 0-3 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
10.08.2019 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
01.06.2019 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
26.08.2018 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-2 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
19.05.2018 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-3 HT 1-2 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ

GIF Sundsvall 1-0 Östersunds FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIF Sundsvall
1-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall squeezed past Östersunds FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day GIF Sundsvall made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GIF Sundsvall had 51% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for GIF Sundsvall and 1.67 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK?

GIF Sundsvall 1-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIF Sundsvall win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split GIF Sundsvall 37%, draw 32%, Östersunds FK 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIF Sundsvall) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIF Sundsvall) ✗ BTTS Yes
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